Oli Thompson vs Phil De Fries
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Phil De Fries
Elo1707GoodTale of the tape
22-16-0Record25-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight264 lbs
ZT Fight SkoolTeamAlliance MMA
What's at stake
Phil De Fries is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Oli Thompson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1558
If they lose-7→ 1534
If they win+9→ 1716
If they lose-23→ 1684
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Oli ThompsonPhil De Fries
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Phil De Fries84%
Oli Thompson 16%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Phil De Fries a 84% favorite over Oli Thompson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Phil De Fries holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1541, a 166-point edge.
Phil De Fries enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Oli Thompson finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Phil De Fries 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.