Oli Thompson vs Phil De Fries
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-16-0Record29-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReach79"
205 lbsWeight264 lbs
ZT Fight SkoolTeamAlliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Phil De Fries is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Oli Thompson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1557
If they lose-4→ 1533
If they win+4→ 1806
If they lose-20→ 1782
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Oli ThompsonPhil De Fries
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Phil De Fries88%
Oli Thompson 12%Elo baseline: 82%
The Combat Edge model makes Phil De Fries a 88% favorite over Oli Thompson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (82%).
Phil De Fries holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1537, a 265-point edge.
Phil De Fries enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Oli Thompson finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Phil De Fries 83%.
Oli Thompson and Phil De Fries share 2 common opponents: Darko Stosic and Szymon Bajor.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.