Oli Thompson vs Tim Catalfo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-16-0Record4-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight231 lbs
ZT Fight SkoolTeamTeam Obake
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1549
If they lose-12→ 1525
If they win+24→ 1559
If they lose-24→ 1511
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Oli ThompsonTim Catalfo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Oli Thompson58%
Tim Catalfo 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Oli Thompson a 58% favorite over Tim Catalfo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1535), separated by just 2 points.
Tim Catalfo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Oli Thompson finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Tim Catalfo 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.