Combat Edge Intelligence

Olivier Poisson vs Shohei Nose

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record12-5-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight136 lbs
H2O MMA· 1645 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMaster Japan Fukuoka

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Olivier PoissonNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
Shohei NoseNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.48
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.61
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.23
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
4.85

Trajectory

Olivier PoissonShohei Nose
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
4 (67%)
Submission
8 (67%)
2 (33%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Shohei Nose53%
Olivier Poisson 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shohei Nose a 53% favorite over Olivier Poisson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Olivier Poisson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1607), separated by just 2 points.

Olivier Poisson enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Olivier Poisson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Shohei Nose 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.