Ollie Sarwa vs Sebastian Szalay
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record10-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
-Reach66"
139 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ollie SarwaSebastian Szalay
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ollie Sarwa52%
Sebastian Szalay 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ollie Sarwa a 52% favorite over Sebastian Szalay in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1658 vs 1657), separated by just 1 points.
Ollie Sarwa finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Sebastian Szalay 30%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.