Ollie Sarwa vs Yoshinori Horie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record15-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-Reach-
139 lbsWeight156 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ollie SarwaYoshinori Horie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yoshinori Horie66%
Ollie Sarwa 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yoshinori Horie a 66% favorite over Ollie Sarwa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ollie Sarwa's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1658 vs 1658), separated by just 0 points.
Ollie Sarwa finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Yoshinori Horie 46%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.