Ollie Schmid vs Patrick Hill
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-3-0Record5-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'8"
71"Reach67"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
City KickboxingTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1559
If they lose-24→ 1511
If they win+24→ 1560
If they lose-24→ 1512
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ollie SchmidPatrick Hill
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ollie Schmid53%
Patrick Hill 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ollie Schmid a 53% favorite over Patrick Hill in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Patrick Hill's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1535 vs 1536), separated by just 1 points.
Ollie Schmid finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Hill 40%.
Ollie Schmid carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.