Oluwale Bamgbose vs Paulo Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record16-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
78,0"Reach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Chute Boxe USATeamTeam Borracha
What's at stake
Paulo Costa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Oluwale Bamgbose carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-8→ 1558
If they win+8→ 1762
If they lose-24→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1747 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Oluwale BamgbosePaulo Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paulo Costa92%
Oluwale Bamgbose 8%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Paulo Costa a 92% favorite over Oluwale Bamgbose in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Paulo Costa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1754 to 1566, a 188-point edge.
Oluwale Bamgbose enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Paulo Costa enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Oluwale Bamgbose finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Costa 81%.
Oluwale Bamgbose and Paulo Costa share 1 common opponent: Uriah Hall.
Oluwale Bamgbose carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.