Omar Hussein vs Thiago Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record23-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
73"Reach70,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
If they win+12→ 1584
If they lose-12→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Omar HusseinThiago Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Omar Hussein66%
Thiago Alves 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Omar Hussein a 66% favorite over Thiago Alves in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thiago Alves's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1572), separated by just 2 points.
Omar Hussein enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Thiago Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Omar Hussein finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Alves 61%.
Omar Hussein carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.