Omar Morales vs Shane Young
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record13-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight150 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Omar MoralesShane Young
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shane Young59%
Omar Morales 41%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Shane Young a 59% favorite over Omar Morales in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Omar Morales's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1584), separated by just 4 points.
Omar Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Shane Young enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Omar Morales finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Shane Young 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.