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Combat Edge Intelligence

Omari Akhmedov vs Patrik Kincl

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Patrik Kincl
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Patrik Kincl

“Inspektor”

30-12-0MiddleweightOKMMA

1713Good

Tale of the tape

24-8-1Record30-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach72"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAll Sports Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Omari AkhmedovNow 1715
If they win+12→ 1727
If they lose-12→ 1703
Patrik KinclNow 1713
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.97
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
34%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
2.58
Takedown avg.
Not available
46%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
66%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.25
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Omari AkhmedovPatrik Kincl
170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (33%)
KO/TKO
13 (45%)
7 (29%)
Submission
8 (28%)
9 (38%)
Decision
8 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrik Kincl53%
Omari Akhmedov 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrik Kincl a 53% favorite over Omari Akhmedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Omari Akhmedov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1713), separated by just 2 points.

Patrik Kincl enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Omari Akhmedov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Patrik Kincl 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.