Omari Akhmedov vs Thiago Perpétuo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-8-1Record9-4-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFuracao Fight Team
What's at stake
Omari Akhmedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Thiago Perpétuo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1721
If they lose-18→ 1697
If they win+36→ 1560
If they lose-12→ 1512
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Omari AkhmedovThiago Perpétuo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Omari Akhmedov83%
Thiago Perpétuo 17%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Omari Akhmedov a 83% favorite over Thiago Perpétuo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Omari Akhmedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1524, a 191-point edge.
Thiago Perpétuo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Omari Akhmedov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Perpétuo 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.