Omari Akhmedov vs Tom Breese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-8-1Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach73.5"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Renegade· 1736 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Omari Akhmedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Tom Breese carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1726
If they lose-13→ 1702
If they win+13→ 1694
If they lose-11→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Omari AkhmedovTom Breese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tom Breese54%
Omari Akhmedov 46%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Tom Breese a 54% favorite over Omari Akhmedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Omari Akhmedov's way (45%).
Omari Akhmedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1681, a 34-point edge.
Omari Akhmedov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tom Breese 90%.
Omari Akhmedov and Tom Breese share 1 common opponent: Rob Wilkinson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.