Omari Akhmedov vs Tom Breese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tom Breese
Elo1662GoodTale of the tape
24-8-1Record18-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Renegade
What's at stake
Omari Akhmedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tom Breese carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1725
If they lose-14→ 1701
If they win+14→ 1676
If they lose-10→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Omari AkhmedovTom Breese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Omari Akhmedov56%
Tom Breese 44%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Omari Akhmedov a 56% favorite over Tom Breese in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Omari Akhmedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1662, a 53-point edge.
Tom Breese enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Omari Akhmedov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tom Breese 94%.
Omari Akhmedov and Tom Breese share 1 common opponent: Rob Wilkinson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.