Combat Edge Intelligence

Omari Akhmedov vs Zak Cummings

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-8-1Record25-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Zak Cummings is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Omari Akhmedov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Omari AkhmedovNow 1715
If they win+13→ 1728
If they lose-11→ 1704
Zak CummingsNow 1739
If they win+11→ 1750
If they lose-13→ 1726

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.97
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
34%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
56%
Strike defense
55%
2.58
Takedown avg.
0.62
46%
Takedown accuracy
28%
66%
Takedown defense
67%
0.25
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Omari AkhmedovZak Cummings
170017502020202120222023

Win method breakdown

8 (33%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
7 (29%)
Submission
12 (48%)
9 (38%)
Decision
7 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Omari Akhmedov and Zak Cummings within a point of even.

Zak Cummings holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1715, a 24-point edge.

Zak Cummings enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Omari Akhmedov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Zak Cummings 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.