Ondřej Raška vs Yuki Sasaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-10-0Record25-22-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight180 lbs
Jetsaam Gym Brno· 1629 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamGrabaka
What's at stake
Yuki Sasaki is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ondřej Raška carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1487
If they lose-15→ 1455
If they win+15→ 1503
If they lose-17→ 1471
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ondřej RaškaYuki Sasaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ondřej Raška62%
Yuki Sasaki 38%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 62% favorite over Yuki Sasaki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yuki Sasaki's way (47%).
Yuki Sasaki holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1488 to 1470, a 18-point edge.
Yuki Sasaki enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ondřej Raška finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Yuki Sasaki 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.