Orion Cosce vs Phil Rowe
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record11-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
71,0"Reach80"
173 lbsWeight170 lbs
Lost Boys Jiu-Jitsu and Muay ThaiTeamFusion X-Cel Performance
What's at stake
Phil Rowe is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Orion Cosce carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1629
If they lose-15→ 1597
If they win+15→ 1652
If they lose-17→ 1620
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Orion CoscePhil Rowe
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Phil Rowe57%
Orion Cosce 43%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Phil Rowe a 57% favorite over Orion Cosce in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Phil Rowe holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1637 to 1612, a 25-point edge.
Phil Rowe enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Orion Cosce finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Phil Rowe 100%.
Phil Rowe carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.