Combat Edge Intelligence

Orion Cosce vs Rodrigo Sezinando

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Orion Cosce
us

Orion Cosce

“Galaxy”

8-2-0MiddleweightUFC

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record8-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"HeightTBD
71,0"Reach71"
173 lbsWeight185 lbs
Lost Boys Jiu-Jitsu and Muay ThaiTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Orion CosceNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Rodrigo SezinandoNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.77
Sig. strikes / min
0
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
1.92
Takedown avg.
TBD
40%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
62%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Orion CosceRodrigo Sezinando
15501600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
1 (13%)
Submission
2 (29%)
1 (13%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Rodrigo Sezinando54%
Orion Cosce 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rodrigo Sezinando a 54% favorite over Orion Cosce in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1620), separated by just 3 points.

Orion Cosce finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Sezinando 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.