Orlando Welt vs Robert Lucarelli
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-5-0Record0-1-0
WelterweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight245 lbs
Team WietTeam
What's at stake
Orlando Welt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Robert Lucarelli carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1526
If they lose-27→ 1478
If they win+27→ 1495
If they lose-21→ 1447
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1472 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Orlando WeltRobert Lucarelli
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Orlando Welt57%
Robert Lucarelli 43%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Orlando Welt a 57% favorite over Robert Lucarelli in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Orlando Welt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1505 to 1468, a 37-point edge.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.