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Combat Edge Intelligence

Osama Elsaidy vs Tuco Tokkos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tuco Tokkos
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Tuco Tokkos

“Tuco”

11-6-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1593Solid

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Warlions MMA AcademyTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Osama ElsaidyNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
Tuco TokkosNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.12
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
Not available
Strike defense
47%
Not available
Takedown avg.
4.21
Not available
Takedown accuracy
47%
Not available
Takedown defense
33%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Osama ElsaidyTuco Tokkos
1600202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
3 (33%)
Submission
3 (27%)
1 (11%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Osama Elsaidy56%
Tuco Tokkos 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Osama Elsaidy a 56% favorite over Tuco Tokkos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1593), separated by just 0 points.

Osama Elsaidy finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Tuco Tokkos 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.