Oscar Ownsworth vs Rafaello Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-1Record17-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamAMA Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Oscar OwnsworthRafaello Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafaello Oliveira57%
Oscar Ownsworth 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafaello Oliveira a 57% favorite over Oscar Ownsworth in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Oscar Ownsworth's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1598), separated by just 0 points.
Oscar Ownsworth enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Rafaello Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Oscar Ownsworth finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Rafaello Oliveira 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.