Combat Edge Intelligence

Oscar Ownsworth vs Thomas Gifford

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-1Record17-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height6'1"
-Reach43,5"
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamSheridan Boxing Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Oscar OwnsworthNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
Thomas GiffordNow 1599
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.97
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.45
TBD
Strike defense
37%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Oscar OwnsworthThomas Gifford
155016001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
3 (30%)
Submission
13 (76%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Oscar Ownsworth53%
Thomas Gifford 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Oscar Ownsworth a 53% favorite over Thomas Gifford in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thomas Gifford's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.

Oscar Ownsworth enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Thomas Gifford enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Oscar Ownsworth finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Gifford 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.