Oskar Piechota vs Tim Williams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
11-3-1Record15-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
42,0"Reach42,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Piranha Grappling TeamTeamTeam Balance
What's at stake
Oskar Piechota is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Tim Williams carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1665
If they lose-17→ 1633
If they win+17→ 1642
If they lose-15→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Oskar PiechotaTim Williams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Oskar Piechota60%
Tim Williams 40%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Oskar Piechota a 60% favorite over Tim Williams in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Oskar Piechota holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1625, a 25-point edge.
Oskar Piechota enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Tim Williams enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Oskar Piechota finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Tim Williams 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.