Ovince St. Preux vs Patrick Cummins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-18-0Record10-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
80″ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Knoxville MMATeamReign MMA
What's at stake
Ovince St. Preux is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Patrick Cummins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1687
If they lose-15→ 1663
If they win+19→ 1621
If they lose-13→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ovince St. PreuxPatrick Cummins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ovince St. Preux62%
Patrick Cummins 38%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Ovince St. Preux a 62% favorite over Patrick Cummins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Ovince St. Preux holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1602, a 76-point edge.
Patrick Cummins enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ovince St. Preux finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cummins 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.