Combat Edge Intelligence

Ovince St. Preux vs Paul Jones

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

27-18-0Record11-1-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'9"
80″ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight198 lbs
Knoxville MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ovince St. PreuxNow 1678
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1666
Paul JonesNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.03
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
1.09
Takedown avg.
TBD
36%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.50
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ovince St. PreuxPaul Jones
16001650170019992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

12 (44%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
8 (30%)
Submission
6 (67%)
7 (26%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Paul Jones66%
Ovince St. Preux 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Paul Jones a 66% favorite over Ovince St. Preux in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1679), separated by just 1 points.

Ovince St. Preux finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Paul Jones 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.