Combat Edge Intelligence

Ovince St. Preux vs Rodolfo Bellato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-18-0Record13-3-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
80″Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Knoxville MMATeamKnockout Squad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ovince St. PreuxNow 1678
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1666
Rodolfo BellatoNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.03
Sig. strikes / min
5.37
48%
Strike accuracy
60%
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.86
48%
Strike defense
47%
1.09
Takedown avg.
1.38
36%
Takedown accuracy
35%
67%
Takedown defense
94%
0.50
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Ovince St. PreuxRodolfo Bellato
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (44%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
8 (30%)
Submission
4 (31%)
7 (26%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Rodolfo Bellato74%
Ovince St. Preux 26%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rodolfo Bellato a 74% favorite over Ovince St. Preux in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ovince St. Preux's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1678), separated by just 0 points.

Ovince St. Preux finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Bellato 92%.

Ovince St. Preux carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.