Ovince St. Preux vs Ryan Bader
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-18-0Record31-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
80″Reach74,0"
205 lbsWeight232 lbs
What's at stake
Ryan Bader is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Ovince St. Preux carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1694
If they lose-7→ 1670
If they win+7→ 1833
If they lose-17→ 1809
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1749 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ovince St. PreuxRyan Bader
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Bader71%
Ovince St. Preux 29%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Bader a 71% favorite over Ovince St. Preux in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Ryan Bader holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1826 to 1677, a 149-point edge.
Ovince St. Preux finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Bader 52%.
Ovince St. Preux carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.