Pablo Alfonso vs Shane Mullen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-7-0Record1-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA MastersTeamFight Academy Ireland· 1583 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1513
If they lose-16→ 1481
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Pablo AlfonsoShane Mullen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pablo Alfonso51%
Shane Mullen 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Pablo Alfonso a 51% favorite over Shane Mullen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shane Mullen's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1497 vs 1500), separated by just 3 points.
Pablo Alfonso enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Pablo Alfonso finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.