Combat Edge Intelligence

Pablo Garza vs Yves Jabouin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pablo Garza
us

Pablo Garza

“The Scarecrow”

12-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1606Solid

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record20-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
6'1"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Academy of Combat ArtsTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Pablo Garza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Yves Jabouin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Pablo GarzaNow 1606
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-20→ 1586
Yves JabouinNow 1516
If they win+20→ 1536
If they lose-12→ 1504

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.37
Sig. strikes / min
3.06
44%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.93
50%
Strike defense
63%
0.94
Takedown avg.
1.94
25%
Takedown accuracy
60%
15%
Takedown defense
82%
1.26
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Pablo GarzaYves Jabouin
150015501600165020112012201320142015

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
11 (55%)
6 (50%)
Submission
1 (5%)
3 (25%)
Decision
8 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Pablo Garza72%
Yves Jabouin 28%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Pablo Garza a 72% favorite over Yves Jabouin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Pablo Garza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1606 to 1516, a 90-point edge.

Yves Jabouin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Pablo Garza finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Yves Jabouin 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.