Combat Edge Intelligence

Paddy Holohan vs Sahil Shakirov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-1Record3-1-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
39.00Reach-
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamFighter Gorec 86

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Paddy HolohanNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Sahil ShakirovNow 1555
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1589 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.13
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
2.88
Takedown avg.
TBD
48%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
71%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.31
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Paddy HolohanSahil Shakirov
15001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
8 (67%)
Submission
1 (33%)
3 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sahil Shakirov60%
Paddy Holohan 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Sahil Shakirov a 60% favorite over Paddy Holohan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1555), separated by just 4 points.

Paddy Holohan finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Sahil Shakirov 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.