Combat Edge Intelligence

Paddy Holohan vs Shane Howell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-1Record13-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'8"
39.00ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamR-1 MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Paddy HolohanNow 1551
If they win+23→ 1574
If they lose-25→ 1526
Shane HowellNow 1538
If they win+17→ 1555
If they lose-15→ 1523

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1589 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.13
Sig. strikes / min
1.27
46%
Strike accuracy
33%
2.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.55
46%
Strike defense
43%
2.88
Takedown avg.
0
48%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
71%
Takedown defense
20%
1.31
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Paddy HolohanShane Howell
150015502015

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
8 (67%)
Submission
7 (54%)
3 (25%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Paddy Holohan70%
Shane Howell 30%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Paddy Holohan a 70% favorite over Shane Howell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1538), separated by just 13 points.

Shane Howell enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Paddy Holohan finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Shane Howell 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.