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Combat Edge Intelligence

Paddy Holohan vs Zarrukh Adashev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-2-1Record4-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
39.00Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamLions Martial Arts Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Paddy HolohanNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Zarrukh AdashevNow 1549
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.65
46%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
46%
Strike defense
65%
2.88
Takedown avg.
0
48%
Takedown accuracy
0%
71%
Takedown defense
100%
1.31
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Paddy HolohanZarrukh Adashev
1500155020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
8 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (25%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Zarrukh Adashev51%
Paddy Holohan 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Zarrukh Adashev a 51% favorite over Paddy Holohan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paddy Holohan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1549), separated by just 2 points.

Paddy Holohan finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Zarrukh Adashev 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.