Combat Edge Intelligence

Paddy Pimblett vs Quillan Salkilld

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-4-0Record13-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
73"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Next Generation UKTeamLuistro Combat Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Paddy PimblettNow 1795
If they win+12→ 1807
If they lose-12→ 1783
Quillan SalkilldNow 1783
If they win+17→ 1800
If they lose-15→ 1768

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.49
Sig. strikes / min
5.16
53%
Strike accuracy
58%
3.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
43%
Strike defense
45%
0.69
Takedown avg.
7.95
21%
Takedown accuracy
37%
44%
Takedown defense
90%
1.20
Submission avg.
0.84

Trajectory

Paddy PimblettQuillan Salkilld
16001650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (29%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
11 (46%)
Submission
5 (38%)
6 (25%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Quillan Salkilld52%
Paddy Pimblett 48%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Quillan Salkilld a 52% favorite over Paddy Pimblett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paddy Pimblett's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1795 vs 1783), separated by just 12 points.

Quillan Salkilld enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Paddy Pimblett finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Quillan Salkilld 77%.

Quillan Salkilld carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.