Combat Edge Intelligence

Paddy Rutledge vs Paul Ruiz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record7-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
-Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Sutemi MMATeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Paddy RutledgeNow 1546
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522
Paul RuizNow 1550
If they win+24→ 1574
If they lose-24→ 1526

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1486 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.79
TBD
Strike accuracy
27%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.96
TBD
Strike defense
38%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.05
TBD
Takedown accuracy
83%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.82

Trajectory

Paddy RutledgePaul Ruiz
1550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (14%)
1 (33%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Paddy Rutledge66%
Paul Ruiz 34%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Paddy Rutledge a 66% favorite over Paul Ruiz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Ruiz's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1550), separated by just 4 points.

Paddy Rutledge finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Paul Ruiz 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.