Combat Edge Intelligence

Paige VanZant vs Vanessa Demopoulos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record11-8-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'2"
65"Reach 59"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Gracie Barra PortlandTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Paige VanZantNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Vanessa DemopoulosNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.35
Sig. strikes / min
3.49
52%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.23
43%
Strike defense
42%
1.27
Takedown avg.
0.36
33%
Takedown accuracy
12%
34%
Takedown defense
25%
0.96
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Paige VanZantVanessa Demopoulos
16002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
3 (38%)
Submission
4 (36%)
3 (38%)
Decision
6 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Paige VanZant70%
Vanessa Demopoulos 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Paige VanZant a 70% favorite over Vanessa Demopoulos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vanessa Demopoulos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1577), separated by just 3 points.

Vanessa Demopoulos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Paige VanZant finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Vanessa Demopoulos 45%.

Paige VanZant carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.