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Combat Edge Intelligence

Papy Abedi vs Tagir Machmudov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Papy Abedi
se

Papy Abedi

“Makambo”

10-4-0MiddleweightSC

1553Solid

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record3-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReach72.4"
185 lbsWeight176 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Papy AbediNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Tagir MachmudovNow 1554
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.80
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
55%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
49%
Strike defense
Not available
3.47
Takedown avg.
Not available
57%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.30
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Papy AbediTagir Machmudov
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
2 (20%)
Submission
2 (67%)
2 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Tagir Machmudov65%
Papy Abedi 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tagir Machmudov a 65% favorite over Papy Abedi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1554), separated by just 1 points.

Papy Abedi finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tagir Machmudov 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.