Papy Abedi vs Thiago Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record23-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReach70,0"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Thiago Alves is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Papy Abedi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1570
If they lose-15→ 1538
If they win+11→ 1584
If they lose-13→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Papy AbediThiago Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thiago Alves71%
Papy Abedi 29%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Alves a 71% favorite over Papy Abedi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Thiago Alves holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1573 to 1553, a 20-point edge.
Thiago Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Papy Abedi finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Alves 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.