Pat Audinwood vs Thiago Tavares
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-1Record24-11-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'7"
TBDReach68,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team BombsquadTeamTeam Tavares
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Pat AudinwoodThiago Tavares
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pat Audinwood67%
Thiago Tavares 33%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Pat Audinwood a 67% favorite over Thiago Tavares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1653 vs 1645), separated by just 8 points.
Pat Audinwood enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Pat Audinwood finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Tavares 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.