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Combat Edge Intelligence

Pat Audinwood vs Thiago Tavares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pat Audinwood
us

Pat Audinwood

“Awesomely Awesome”

11-2-1LightweightLFC

1653Good

Tale of the tape

11-2-1Record24-11-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'7"
TBDReach68,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team BombsquadTeamTeam Tavares

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Pat AudinwoodNow 1653
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637
Thiago TavaresNow 1646
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.17
Sig. strikes / min
2
13%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
41%
Strike defense
63%
0.80
Takedown avg.
3.83
50%
Takedown accuracy
43%
0%
Takedown defense
63%
0
Submission avg.
1.46

Trajectory

Pat AudinwoodThiago Tavares
1650201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
6 (55%)
Submission
15 (63%)
5 (45%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Thiago Tavares58%
Pat Audinwood 42%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Tavares a 58% favorite over Pat Audinwood in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pat Audinwood's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1653 vs 1646), separated by just 7 points.

Pat Audinwood enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Pat Audinwood finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Tavares 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.