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Combat Edge Intelligence

Pat Barry vs Roggers Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pat Barry
us

Pat Barry

“HD”

8-7-0HeavyweightUFC

1525Average

Tale of the tape

8-7-0Record15-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
TBDReach79"
237 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team Death ClutchTeamAlcateia MMA· 1554 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Pat BarryNow 1525
If they win+16→ 1541
If they lose-16→ 1509
Roggers SouzaNow 1531
If they win+16→ 1547
If they lose-16→ 1515

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.72
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
52%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
60%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
76%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.22
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Pat BarryRoggers Souza
150015501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (88%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (27%)
1 (13%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Pat Barry and Roggers Souza within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1525 vs 1531), separated by just 6 points.

Pat Barry enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Roggers Souza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Pat Barry finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Roggers Souza 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.