Pat Barry vs Shane del Rosario
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-7-0Record11-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
237 lbsWeight246 lbs
Team Death ClutchTeamTeam Oyama
What's at stake
Shane del Rosario is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Pat Barry carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1547
If they lose-10→ 1515
If they win+10→ 1666
If they lose-22→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Pat BarryShane del Rosario
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shane del Rosario70%
Pat Barry 30%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Shane del Rosario a 70% favorite over Pat Barry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Shane del Rosario holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1525, a 131-point edge.
Pat Barry enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Shane del Rosario enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Pat Barry finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Shane del Rosario 100%.
Pat Barry and Shane del Rosario share 1 common opponent: Lavar Johnson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.