Pat Barry vs Soa Palelei
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-7-0Record22-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
237 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team Death ClutchTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
Soa Palelei is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Pat Barry carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1550
If they lose-7→ 1518
If they win+5→ 1741
If they lose-19→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Pat BarrySoa Palelei
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Soa Palelei78%
Pat Barry 22%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Soa Palelei a 78% favorite over Pat Barry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Soa Palelei holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1525, a 211-point edge.
Pat Barry enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Pat Barry finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Soa Palelei 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.