Combat Edge Intelligence

Pat Barry vs Stefan Struve

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pat Barry
us

Pat Barry

“HD”

8-7-0HeavyweightUFC

1525Average

Tale of the tape

8-7-0Record29-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height7'0"
TBDReach84,5"
237 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team Death ClutchTeamTeam Schrijber

What's at stake

Stefan Struve is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Pat Barry carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Pat BarryNow 1525
If they win+22→ 1547
If they lose-10→ 1515
Stefan StruveNow 1664
If they win+7→ 1671
If they lose-17→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.72
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
52%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.04
60%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
0.56
0%
Takedown accuracy
47%
76%
Takedown defense
56%
0.22
Submission avg.
1.68

Trajectory

Pat BarryStefan Struve
15001550160016501700201220132014201520162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

7 (88%)
KO/TKO
8 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
18 (64%)
1 (13%)
Decision
2 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Stefan Struve72%
Pat Barry 28%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Stefan Struve a 72% favorite over Pat Barry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Stefan Struve holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1525, a 139-point edge.

Pat Barry enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Pat Barry finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Stefan Struve 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.