Pat Barry vs Tim Hague
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-7-0Record21-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
237 lbsWeight264 lbs
Team Death ClutchTeamUFC Gym Edmonton
What's at stake
Tim Hague is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Pat Barry carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1545
If they lose-12→ 1513
If they win+9→ 1618
If they lose-15→ 1594
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Pat BarryTim Hague
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tim Hague60%
Pat Barry 40%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Tim Hague a 60% favorite over Pat Barry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Tim Hague holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1525, a 84-point edge.
Pat Barry enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Pat Barry finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Tim Hague 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.