Combat Edge Intelligence

Pat Benson vs Taisei Mizusugi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-5-3Record6-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'9"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Finney's MMATeamblooM

What's at stake

Pat Benson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Taisei Mizusugi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Pat BensonNow 1488
If they win+15→ 1503
If they lose-17→ 1471
Taisei MizusugiNow 1471
If they win+17→ 1488
If they lose-15→ 1456

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1475 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Pat BensonTaisei Mizusugi
140014501500200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
3 (100%)
Submission
1 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Taisei Mizusugi75%
Pat Benson 25%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Taisei Mizusugi a 75% favorite over Pat Benson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pat Benson's way (48%).

Pat Benson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1488 to 1471, a 17-point edge.

Pat Benson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Pat Benson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Taisei Mizusugi 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.