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Combat Edge Intelligence

Pat Miletich vs Shonie Carter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Pat Miletich
us

Pat Miletich

“The Croation Sensation”

29-8-2WelterweightCAMMA

1647Solid
Shonie Carter
us

Shonie Carter

“Mr. International”

52-32-7MiddleweightZP

1497Average

Tale of the tape

29-8-2Record52-32-7
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
169 lbsWeight176 lbs
Miletich Martial ArtsTeamIron Academy

What's at stake

Pat Miletich is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Shonie Carter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Pat MiletichNow 1647
If they win+7→ 1654
If they lose-17→ 1630
Shonie CarterNow 1497
If they win+17→ 1514
If they lose-7→ 1490

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.79
Sig. strikes / min
1.62
45%
Strike accuracy
36%
1.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
64%
Strike defense
47%
1.96
Takedown avg.
0.75
100%
Takedown accuracy
67%
55%
Takedown defense
75%
0.98
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Pat MiletichShonie Carter
150015501600165020162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

7 (24%)
KO/TKO
14 (27%)
16 (55%)
Submission
13 (25%)
6 (21%)
Decision
25 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Pat Miletich57%
Shonie Carter 43%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Pat Miletich a 57% favorite over Shonie Carter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Pat Miletich holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1497, a 150-point edge.

Shonie Carter enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Pat Miletich finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Shonie Carter 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.