Combat Edge Intelligence

Patchy Mix vs Rei Tsuruya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Patchy Mix
us

Patchy Mix

“No Love”

20-5-0BantamweightRFF

1738Good

Tale of the tape

20-5-0Record11-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'7"
71"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight126 lbs
WNY MMATeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1684 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Patchy MixNow 1738
If they win+12→ 1750
If they lose-12→ 1726
Rei TsuruyaNow 1739
If they win+16→ 1755
If they lose-16→ 1723

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1712 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.30
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
44%
Strike accuracy
54%
7.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.91
43%
Strike defense
43%
2.50
Takedown avg.
5.03
0%
Takedown accuracy
6%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
2.01

Trajectory

Patchy MixRei Tsuruya
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
13 (65%)
Submission
5 (45%)
5 (25%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Patchy Mix and Rei Tsuruya within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1738 vs 1739), separated by just 1 points.

Patchy Mix enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Patchy Mix finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rei Tsuruya 82%.

Patchy Mix carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.