Patchy Mix vs Shoko Sato
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-4-0Record38-17-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
WNY MMATeamFight Base Toritsudai
What's at stake
Patchy Mix is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Shoko Sato carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1750
If they lose-14→ 1726
If they win+14→ 1688
If they lose-10→ 1664
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Patchy MixShoko Sato
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Patchy Mix and Shoko Sato within a point of even.
Patchy Mix holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1740 to 1674, a 66-point edge.
Patchy Mix enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Shoko Sato enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Patchy Mix finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Shoko Sato 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.