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Combat Edge Intelligence

Patricio Peñailillo vs Stevie Lynch

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record5-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
167 lbsWeight170 lbs
Esencia Jiu-JitsuTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Patricio PeñaililloNow 1476
If they win+24→ 1500
If they lose-24→ 1452
Stevie LynchNow 1475
If they win+24→ 1499
If they lose-24→ 1451

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
Not available
Strike accuracy
25%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.06
Not available
Strike defense
41%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Patricio Peñailillo55%
Stevie Lynch 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Patricio Peñailillo a 55% favorite over Stevie Lynch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1476 vs 1475), separated by just 1 points.

Stevie Lynch 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.