Combat Edge Intelligence

Patrick Cote vs Ricardo Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Patrick Cote
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Patrick Cote

“The Predator”

23-11-0WelterweightUFC

1728Good

Tale of the tape

23-11-0Record13-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
BTT CanadaTeamRenzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Patrick Cote is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Ricardo Almeida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Patrick CoteNow 1728
If they win+8→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1712
Ricardo AlmeidaNow 1603
If they win+22→ 1625
If they lose-10→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.81
Sig. strikes / min
2.02
48%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.20
49%
Strike defense
61%
0.68
Takedown avg.
3.74
21%
Takedown accuracy
38%
44%
Takedown defense
31%
0.25
Submission avg.
1.21

Trajectory

Patrick CoteRicardo Almeida
1600165017001750200920102011201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

10 (45%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (14%)
Submission
5 (38%)
9 (41%)
Decision
8 (62%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Cote75%
Ricardo Almeida 25%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Cote a 75% favorite over Ricardo Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Patrick Cote holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1603, a 125-point edge.

Patrick Cote enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Patrick Cote finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Almeida 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.