Combat Edge Intelligence

Patrick Cote vs Saygid Izagakhmaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Patrick Cote
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Patrick Cote

“The Predator”

23-11-0WelterweightUFC

1728Good

Tale of the tape

23-11-0Record22-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
75"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
BTT CanadaTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1732 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Patrick CoteNow 1728
If they win+12→ 1740
If they lose-12→ 1716
Saygid IzagakhmaevNow 1726
If they win+12→ 1738
If they lose-12→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.81
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
48%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.73
49%
Strike defense
59%
0.68
Takedown avg.
4
21%
Takedown accuracy
40%
44%
Takedown defense
100%
0.25
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Patrick CoteSaygid Izagakhmaev
17001750201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (45%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
3 (14%)
Submission
13 (59%)
9 (41%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Saygid Izagakhmaev63%
Patrick Cote 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Saygid Izagakhmaev a 63% favorite over Patrick Cote in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Patrick Cote's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1728 vs 1726), separated by just 2 points.

Patrick Cote enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Saygid Izagakhmaev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Patrick Cote finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Saygid Izagakhmaev 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.