Patrick Cote vs Scott Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record18-11-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
BTT CanadaTeamCapital City Fighting Alliance
What's at stake
Patrick Cote is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Scott Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1737
If they lose-15→ 1713
If they win+15→ 1645
If they lose-9→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Patrick CoteScott Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Cote78%
Scott Smith 22%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Cote a 78% favorite over Scott Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Patrick Cote holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1630, a 98-point edge.
Patrick Cote enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Patrick Cote finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Scott Smith 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.