Patrick Cote vs Stephen Thompson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record17-9-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
75"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
BTT CanadaTeamTeam Upstate Karate
What's at stake
Patrick Cote is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Stephen Thompson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1739
If they lose-13→ 1715
If they win+17→ 1719
If they lose-15→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1749 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Patrick CoteStephen Thompson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Cote53%
Stephen Thompson 47%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Cote a 53% favorite over Stephen Thompson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Patrick Cote holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1702, a 26-point edge.
Patrick Cote enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Stephen Thompson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Patrick Cote finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Stephen Thompson 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.